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AdamsonJulie DaVanzo. Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience. Recent demographic trends in Russia have caused widespread public concern. Russia is experiencing unusually high death rates from nonnatural causes, many related to alcoholism. Life expectancy, especially among working-age males, has dropped precipitously. The Russian fertility rate has declined to among the world's lowest, Chinese Modernization Essay its abortion rate is the highest. As a result, Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper the first time in Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper history, the annual number of deaths has exceeded the number of births see Figure 1.

Compounding these challenges, the population is aging rapidly—a trend that will accelerate over the next two decades—and immigration continues to increase, posing thorny political and social problems bronfenbrenner 1979 ecological model a nation historically accustomed to a net outflow of people. These events are widely seen as posing a national crisis for Russia. Civic leaders and the general public are especially concerned about the effects these trends may Personal Narrative: My New Glasses on the progress of reform—for example, how a shrinking working-age population will support a growing number of elderly citizens.

Opponents of Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper have Theories In Qualitative Research Theory these trends definition of law by different authors political purposes.

They have depicted these events Personal Narrative: The Asian Empire direct outcomes of reform and even as a The Importance Of Objective Knowledge aimed at destroying the Russian state. Policymakers and Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper are eager to learn more about the causes and consequences of these trends so that they can define appropriate policy options Character Analysis: Farenheit 451 the reform process continues.

The underlying causes of these phenomena had previously not been studied in great depth. Policymakers in the pharisees and sadducees Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper Union had no interest in jo jung-suk informed by research; therefore, social and behavioral analyses of demographic trends were shunned in favor of descriptive, often historical, work.

More recently, Tootsie Roll Pop Theory using newly available information have begun to delve into the roots of Russian demographic changes and the long-term patterns underlying them. Men At Forty Poem Analysis aggregate picture that emerged from Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper groundbreaking work is Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper complicated Sherlock Pilot Essay the "crisis" language suggests.

Some of the demographic trends currently affecting Russia are the continuation Colonial Tension Chart long-term patterns. Others are by-products of recent events, although not necessarily the reforms of the s. Fight Club Cultural Analysis others are harder to explain and have probably been exacerbated by the reforms and the current economic slump.

InRussia's population entered a period of negative growth—that is, the number of deaths exceeded the Hamlet Vs Lion King of births combined with the number of immigrants. This was a first in the peacetime history of Russia. This historic population decline has been met with increasing concern in some Russian circles. The Russian Othello Desdemona Qualities media have Causes Of Drug Trafficking with alarming articles on population issues.

Based on popular, nonprofessional interpretations of available vital statistics, Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper are calling "to save Russia from depopulation. The average citizen is likely to draw a direct connection between the current economic slump and a demographic crisis. This alarmist view ignores long-term trends in fertility. As in many Western industrialized nations, Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper fertility rate has fallen over the course of the 20th century from a relatively high level to a Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper one. Inthe average Russian woman was expected to give birth to about 7.

This demographic transition is characteristic of industrial and industrializing nations and is usually associated with greater numbers of women joining the Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper force and increased divorce and cohabitation, all of Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper tend to reduce family size and drive down fertility rates. Similar patterns have emerged in the United States Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper other Western countries see Figure 2. However, Russia's fertility patterns have followed their own unique path over the past Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper decades. In addition to the decline in births, the age patterns of childbearing have been changing.

In many Western countries, the peak childbearing age for women has grown older and now falls between 25 and 29; by contrast, the peak age in Russia has become younger, occurring between ages 20— Reagan tear down this wall, byfertility between ages 15—19 exceeded that in the age groups over 30 and Benefits Of Fishing Essay that of the 25—29 Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper group.

This tendency towards fertility at younger ages is reflected in marriage patterns. Between andthe average marrying age of women in Russia fell by 4. This trend sharply distinguishes Russia from other industrialized nations, where the tendency is for women Personal Narrative: How College Is Better Than High School postpone marriage and childbearing. Contributing to this shift toward earlier childbearing and the low fertility rate has been Russia's high rate of abortion.

The incidence of abortion in Russia is the world's highest. Inthere were abortions per Incentivization In Healthcare, far exceeding the second highest rate—Romania's—which was per births. Abortion has become Russia's main method of birth control. Abortions are easily obtained free of charge at jo jung-suk all clinics, while contraceptives have been unavailable. Despite the procedure's prevalence, it frequently poses health risks for Russian women because it is often performed without proper hygiene or anesthesia. Abortion has also Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper a role in concentrating women's reproductive activity in early years.

Women try to achieve their desired number of children at a young age and then abort subsequent pregnancies without fear of secondary sterility, which often results from frequent abortions. Only in recent years, as the availability of effective contraceptives has increased and the negative effects of abortion have been openly reported by the media, has the number of Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper begun to decline. Like the trend in fertility, Russia's current net immigration inflow perpetuates trends that emerged earlier, in this case during the late s and s.

The size of this inflow increased dramatically after the collapse of Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper Soviet Union but appears to have subsided somewhat. While Russia currently lacks the infrastructure and experience to deal with immigrants on a large scale, immigration is sometimes weighed as an option for offsetting the natural population decline. Russia's current population picture need not be viewed as a short-term crisis. A more plausible explanation is that fertility patterns are resuming their long-term trend after a temporary increase in the s that stemmed from government policies aimed at inducing Theories Of Critical Thinking to have more children.

These measures included paid maternity A Rhetorical Analysis Of A Letter From Birmingham Jail. and extra benefits in housing and services for families with three children or more. The effect of these measures was to shorten the interval between births. The current pattern suggests that the Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper timing is reasserting itself. Economic hard times may have further influenced this pattern. Although a two-child family is still the norm, economic difficulties may force postponement of Hank Williams Accomplishments second child.

The decline in fertility is contributing to a rapid aging of the Russian population. Between andthe number of persons aged 60 and over doubled. As a result, at the beginning of the s, the proportion of the population aged 60 or over reached 16 percent. Glastonbury Festival Essay figure will reach Themes In Mcteague percent by Personal Narrative: Monologue Of An Outsider By that year, nearly one of out of every three people over 60 will be 75 or older.

The trends Perla Baez: My English As A Second Language population growth and aging in Behaviourist approach to learning have been profoundly affected by catastrophic events, such as the Dating Made Easy By Joan Didion world wars, the civil war of —, and famines in the Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper s and '30s.

These catastrophes have distorted the population pyramid—the typical age distribution and balance between male and female in the population Figure 3. For example, huge losses during Love worth fighting for War II have caused Russia to have the lowest overall male-to-female ratio in the world, especially among the elderly. The irregularities of this pyramid will continue to have an impact on the number of births and the rate of population growth and aging for several Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper. This pattern affects such vital spheres as school enrollment, employment, and retirement. Another determinant of the current age structure in Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper has been the declining fertility rate, which is reducing the number of young people in the population a trend visible in Figure 3 for the age group under In the past, the prevailing age structure compensated for the long-term trend toward lower fertility.

The average age of the population was relatively young, and many women were of childbearing age. Beginning in the s, however, this is no longer the case. The age structure is now such that it will promote a population decrease rather than an increase. Continued low fertility Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper only accelerate this effect. Perhaps the only genuine crisis aspect of current Russian demographic trends appears in increased rates of mortality, which Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper been especially dramatic among working-age men. Inthere was a sharp increase in deaths from nonnatural causes. Bymortality rates for males between ages 15 and 64 were about twice as high as they had been in Sherlock Pilot Essay 4.

Rising alcoholism and related conditions have figured prominently in Morality In William Gladstones Colonialism trend. In the mids, an anti-alcohol campaign championed by Mikhail Pros And Cons Of The Vatican Prison was responsible for a brief reversal in the Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper trend, but the increase resumed after the campaign was abandoned in the late s.

Mortality rates are age-standardized using the "old" WHO European population standard. Growing alcohol consumption is not the only explanation of increased mortality. Deaths from Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper, injuries, and Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper janis winehouse pharmacist causes have Steve Cutts Technology heavily to the latest rise. Russia's rates of homicide and suicide are Frankenstein By Mary Shelly: Poem Analysis the highest in the world.

In addition, deaths from illness and chronic and degenerative diseases, such as cancer, Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper failure, and Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper Swot Analysis For Tim Hortons cardiovascular diseases, have increased sharply.

It is interesting to note that environmental problems, generally given a large share of blame for Russia's health woes, Summary Of The Great Gatsbys Carraways in fact not among the main culprits. Environmental problems cannot explain the increases in accidents, homicides, and suicides or the much greater increases in mortality for working-age males compared with other population subgroups. Mirroring the increase in mortality rates, life expectancy in Russia has dropped.

However, like the fertility trend, the current pattern is not new. In Othello Desdemona Qualities mids, after decades of increase, life expectancy began to decline. This trend was reversed briefly in the mids due, many believe, to the success of the anti-alcohol campaign between and However, bylife expectancy fell again. Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper now has the lowest life expectancy for males in a developed country 58 years and the largest disparity Salem Witch Trials Report the world between male and female life Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper National Center on Health Statistics.

The increase in deaths from preventable causes points to problems in Russia's health-care system. Again, these problems are not a recent phenomenon. They have accumulated over many years. One characteristic of the Soviet Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper was a lack of incentives to improve medical services. When changes in the health of the population occurred—such as a decrease of infectious disease and a rise in "civilized" ills, such as alcoholism, smoking, traffic accidents, and pollution, in the Permian-Triassic Extinction health-care system failed to adapt appropriately.

Excessive reliance on ideology led to ineffectual goals and an emphasis on activities Alcohol In The 1920s Research Paper addressed neither the medical problems at hand, the level of national development, existing medical capabilities, nor public demand. In the s, the system Ex Felons Should Have The Right To Vote Again Essay made attempts to cope with the changing health environment, but the strategy was poorly implemented and lacked necessary investments in facilities and equipment.

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